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Telecom news articles. ........Date: 2/1/2002

Operational Review Of Ericsson


Source:ww.ericsson.com, Source date:


Systems
Orders and sales have gradually declined during the year, reflecting lower volumes and more competitive pricing for both mobile systems and multi-service networks. The Systems order backlog remains strong at 43% of annual sales, almost unchanged from 44% at the end of 2000. However, new order development is essential to secure our operational targets in 2002.

The Systems operating margin remained at 1% with improvements in Mobile Systems offset by further deterioration in Multi-Service Networks. Excluding the increased risk provisions for Latin America, our Systems margin increased sequentially to 4%, mainly reflecting cost savings from our Efficiency Program.

Mobile Systems
In 2001, we again outperformed the competition in our GSM business. GSM sales for the full year rose 9%, even with a 7% decline in the quarter, demonstrating our strong performance under difficult market conditions.

Orders for GSM increased in North America and Asia Pacific but were weak in Western Europe. Overall, orders for 2G systems continued to decline in the fourth quarter, primarily reflecting lower demand for TDMA and PDC as these operators prepare to migrate to next generation networks.

In 2.5G, we have signed 78 commercial GPRS agreements out of a total 162 announced industry-wide to date. Thirty of our customers have already launched commercial services and we have taken the lead in the North American transition to GSM/GPRS. Recently we also signed our first global contract for MMS (Multi-Media Messaging) for initial deployment in nine countries beginning this year. The availability of attractive MMS services with color images, animations and sounds will be an important driver for GPRS traffic.

In 3G, we are currently shipping systems to more than 30 operators. We have been named in 60% of the 3G/UMTS agreements announced so far, which we believe will represent at least a 40% global market share in terms of value. We have further strengthened our position with important contract wins in North America, giving us the best position for the follow-on upgrade to 3G/EDGE.

PHONES
Our Phones business has been restructured with the establishment of the Sony Ericsson joint venture for mobile multi-media products and the formation of technology licensing businesses for mobile phone platforms and Bluetooth. With this, we have repositioned Ericsson to capitalize on the opportunities in the new handset market structure, which is shifting from a few complete suppliers to a chain of specialized companies.

As previously announced, our 50% share of income from Sony Ericsson Mobile Communications is included in "Earnings from Joint Venture and Associated Companies." The retained activities, including technology licensing and phone manufacturing in China, are now reported as part of "Other Operations."

MARKET VIEW
By year-end 2001 the number of mobile subscribers had grown to 940-950 million, within our forecasted growth of 25-35%. We expect about 200 million new subscribers to be added in 2002, a solid growth rate of 20- 25%. Our long-term forecast of 1.6 billion mobile subscribers by the end of 2005 remains unchanged. The number of mobile phones sold in 2001 was approximately 390 million, close to our forecasted 400 million, reflecting a slower than expected replacement rate. In 2002, we anticipate up to 10% unit volume growth, driven by increased availability of replacement phones with GPRS, Bluetooth, color screens and multi-media messaging. The slowdown in the telecommunications equipment market continued during the fourth quarter, resulting in a more or less flat mobile systems market for the full year. The wireline systems market contracted significantly and is likely to shrink further during 2002. These market conditions are expected to persist well into 2002 with a much weaker first half. We maintain our view that the global market for mobile systems will be flat to down 10% in 2002. However, the North American market may show modest growth as operators upgrade to GSM/GPRS and 3G/EDGE. The build-out of several 3G/UMTS networks in Europe and Asia has begun with the commercial launch of services planned for later this year. The number of 3G/UMTS subscribers could reach well over one million by the end of the year, depending on the availability of phones. Our market view is based on discussions with our customers and the current macro-economic outlook. We have assumed that the market downturn will last well into 2002, that there will be significant net subscriber additions with increasing usage per subscriber, that GPRS traffic will gradually build up of over the next 12 months and that deployment of 3G systems will accelerate during the second half of 2002.